SEA Games 2015: Selection Methodology Women’s 4×100

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SEA Games 2015: Selection Methodology Women’s 4×100

ANDREW PIRIE – ATFS STATISTICIAN editor for pinoyathletics.info

The PATAFA is still finalizing whether a women’s 4×100 will be included in the SEA Games. I will list reasons for including one and the methodology used in selecting the team. I am using pieces from an article that was in the pipeline and never published in this write up with updates. Please note to news media if you use any of this article to quote pinoyathletics.info in your write up.

Womens 4×100 Relay

Is the next most sure relay with five members. Two of the women have happily helped themselves to qualifying standards in the 100, 200 events.

28 year old Princess Joy Griffey (our #2 fastest women of all time and National Junior Record Holder in 100), and 17 year old World Junior representative Kayla Richardson.

Princess Joy Griffey

Griffey (11.62, 2014), Richardson (11.78, 2014), They were both ranked in top 10 in the SEA Rankings last year 100, 200. With Griffey ranked third behind Vu (Vietnam) 11.59 and Tassaporn Wanakit (Thailand). Griffey won the 100,200 at the 2014 National Games and opened 2015 with 11.92 and then 11.88.

Griffey with the best 200 PB 23.93 is an experienced relay runner having gone through the US NCAA system is the best choice for the second runner. Its the longest leg 105m+ and requires two hand offs that only an experience runner can get right.

Griffey wins the womens 100m Dash at the 2014 PNG

Griffey wins the womens 100m Dash at the 2014 PNG

Khay Santos

Long jumper Khay Santos (although PB 12.17, 2012 had a big break through recently with 6.95 for 55m = 7.60 = 11.85-11.95). Santos played a very effective role as first runner at the Thai Open as she beat the Thai to the first change passing it to Princess Joy. Khay then followed this up with a windy 11.97 in Los Angeles and then a PB of 11.99 to win the National Open in 2015.

Santos wins the 2015 National Open

Santos wins the 2015 National Open

Kayla Richardson

The promising 17 year old, would be ideal for the third or fourth leg of the relay. As a familiar passing changing with her sister Kyla would be of benefit to the team. Kayla has a PB of 11.78,just .03 seconds away from the junior record of Princess Joy Griffey.

She has some international experience placing 5th at the Asian Youth Champs and also becoming the first athlete ever to hit the qualifying standard for the prestigious World Junior Champs which were held in Oregon last year.

The natural heir to Griffey in the sprints the 5’9 teenager may show great promise in the years to come. Opened with 12.04 and also ran a new PB of 56.82 in the 400 showing her versatility range as a sprinter.

Kayla Richardson of the Philippines

Kayla Richardson of the Philippines

Kyla Richardson comes in as 4th runner in the team

Kyla-Richardson-training

Kyla Richardson with coach Jon Gilmer at the track oval.

Due to several withdrawals which will be mentioned later. Kyla Richardson, the twin sister of Kayla who had been ranked not in the top five last year has made her way into the lineup for the womens 4×100.

Unlike Griffey (100,200), Kath (Long Jump) and Kayla (100,200).Kyla would only be participating in the relays at SEA Games. Kyla has a PB of 11.93 from 2013, and is the fasetst 14 year old of all time in 2012 with 12.00.

Kyla finished 6th in the Asian Youth Champs, but then had to fight hamstring issues in 2014. In 2015 she came back with an opening time of 12.09 and then 12.03 2 weeks later.

Nelson and Rosales unavailable for SEA Games

Updates since last time the following sprinters are now unavailable. Zion Corrales-Nelson, 15 who was anticipated to join the SEA Games delegation, did not communicate intention to join the meet with the PATAFA. She has a best time of 12.02 in the 100 but is better known as the National 400 Record Holder.

Jenny Rose Rosales whose UAAP Record in the heats of 11.90, also went under the 11.91 (SEA Bronze 2013) standard. However as two entries per event. Rosales was not able to sign up for  the SEA Games due to OJT commitments.

The Thai Open

When I brought the 4×100 to Thailand they landed bronze with Santos, Griffey, Loquinto and Rosales. The team then ran 46.61 off two days training. Jenny going two steps early before Hanelyn reached the check mark ended up costing the team about .3 seconds.

Now lets assume based on best times

Thai Open 4×100 2013

46.61 ( this was the best time by the Philippines since 2005)

(Name, best time, time ran at meet)

  • Katherine Khay Santos (12.17 PB, 12.29)
  • Princess Joy Griffey (11.58 PB, 12.10)
  • Hanelyn Loquinto (12.22 PB, 12.49)
  • Jenny Rosales (12.22 PB, 12.41) (*12.41 recent time didnt run individual at games)

Back in 2013 for SEA Games note

Griffey only trained a month before Thai Open, after 2 years out of the sport.

Kyla (11.93) and Kayla (11.79) were together around 1.2 seconds faster than Loquinto and Jenny at this point in time.

2015 Team

  • Katherine Khay Santos (11.99 PB)
  • Princess Joy Griffey (11.58 PB, 11.62)
  • Kayla Richardson (11.78)
  • Kyla Richardson (11.93)

12.17-11.99 = .18

12.10 – 11.62 = .48

12.49-11.93 = .56

12.22-11.78 = .46

46.61 – 1.68 (if all athletes in pb shape) = 44.93

44.93 is best scenario due to lack of passing and athletes having been in individual events prior. 45.3-45.8 is a more realistic target. The Phi record is 45.41 and 44.88 is good for silver whereas 45.3-45.8 perhaps bronze.

 

2013 SEA Games

Thailand 44.42

Vietnam 44.99

Indonesia 45.88

Myanmar 47.82

Malaysia DSQ

 

The Diagnosis

Based on the speed of our members and past history, Thailand with superior passing will win the relay. However Vietnam who is without Vu may run significantly slower. The key challenge for the bronze would come from Indonesia and possibly Malaysia. Griffey and Kath have shown some good early season form. But it is crucial that the Richardson twins get into the 11.80 to 11.90 bracket. If this happens we have a very high medal chance.  The relay team members are willing to come out to camp in Manila on May 25 if the team is approved.

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